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China flows could signal tactical opportunities

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Following China's announced stimulus in Sept., a burst of enthusiasm led to $2.1b of inflows for ETF's that comprise our China Theme, with rolling 5-day accumulated inflows peaking at a record high on Oct. 1. As enthusiasm faded, and additional stimulus in November underwhelmed, investors were reminded of the structural challenges China faces (demographics, deglobalization, and debt), pulling out over $1b from the theme. However, as valuations relative to the U.S. revert, the potential for additional stimulus, and net flows stabilize, we're neutral on the theme while on watch for shorter-term tactical opportunities.

Ned Davis Research | Thematic | Trend Chart | Weekly

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