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Strong U.S. income and spending growth push inflation up

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Personal income and spending start Q4 strong, adding some pressure to PCE inflation. Fed still expected to cut rates in December. Initial jobless claims fall to a seven-month low, as labor demand remains healthy. Pending home sales rise more than expected. Durable goods orders disappoint. Along with a weaker Chicago PMI, it points to continued sluggish manufacturing activity into yearend. Q3 real GDP unrevised at a 2.8% annualized rate. Profits soften, but margins still elevated. German and French consumer confidence plunges, adding to downside risk for the eurozone economy.

Ned Davis Research | Economics | Daily Economic Perspectives | Daily

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