We see several similarities between the setup in 2025 and what we saw in 2022 including market divergences, Big Tech driving market returns, expected slowing of Big Tech earnings growth, and growing inflation concerns. Big Tech does not have to follow the same script as 2022, however, as the AI investment cycle may very well last much longer than the Covid investment cycle. We highlight key charts to watch including Big Tech vs Energy and capex growth for Hardware and Software.
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