Last week, following Trump's victory in the Presidential election, inflation expectations experienced their largest single day jump in more than a year. In our universe of 650 unlevered, long-only ETFs with more than $1 billion AUM, energy and natural resource related funds, like the VanEck Oil Services ETF (OIH), show the highest sensitivity to inflation expectations. Tariffs, deregulation, and looming OPEC+ supply make disentangling macro drivers difficult. However, if stalling disinflation causes inflation expectations to climb, energy and natural resource themes should go with them.
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